IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.0	#190
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.3	#186
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.5	#252

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.4	#148

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.0%	1.8%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.3%	0.7%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.8	11.5	12.5

.500 or above	33.2%	49.5%	23.5%
.500 or above in Conference	27.3%	36.3%	21.9%
Conference Champion	0.6%	1.2%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	14.9%	9.7%	18.1%

First Four	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
First Round	0.8%	1.5%	0.4%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Away) - 37.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 3	4 - 6	5 - 14
Quad 4	8 - 3	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	181	@ Towson	L	65-68	37%
Nov 09, 2019	337	Howard	W	82-69	89%
Nov 12, 2019	184	American	W	70-67	60%
Nov 16, 2019	329	Morgan St.	W	81-69	85%
Nov 22, 2019	234	UMKC	W	70-68	57%
Dec 01, 2019	78	@ South Carolina	L	66-78	15%
Dec 04, 2019	200	Boston University	W	72-69	61%
Dec 07, 2019	240	Delaware	W	69-64	68%
Dec 21, 2019	69	Harvard	L	66-73	27%
Dec 28, 2019	260	Longwood	W	73-67	70%
Dec 31, 2019	84	@ Vermont	L	61-72	17%
Jan 05, 2020	115	St. Bonaventure	L	63-66	41%
Jan 08, 2020	141	@ Saint Louis	L	63-69	30%
Jan 11, 2020	126	Duquesne	L	72-74	44%
Jan 15, 2020	151	George Mason	W	71-70	51%
Jan 18, 2020	237	@ Massachusetts	L	69-70	47%
Jan 22, 2020	233	@ Fordham	L	64-65	47%
Jan 25, 2020	221	Saint Joseph's	W	73-69	65%
Jan 29, 2020	52	Davidson	L	63-72	23%
Feb 01, 2020	105	@ Richmond	L	66-75	23%
Feb 05, 2020	115	@ St. Bonaventure	L	60-69	24%
Feb 08, 2020	86	Rhode Island	L	67-72	33%
Feb 15, 2020	151	@ George Mason	L	67-73	32%
Feb 19, 2020	126	@ Duquesne	L	69-77	26%
Feb 22, 2020	189	La Salle	W	72-69	60%
Feb 26, 2020	105	Richmond	L	69-72	40%
Feb 29, 2020	28	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	60-77	8%
Mar 04, 2020	233	Fordham	W	67-62	65%
Mar 07, 2020	60	@ Dayton	L	61-75	13%
Projected Record						13 - 16	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0			1.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	0.9	0.3	0.0					2.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.6	1.5	1.2	0.3	0.0						3.8	4th
5th									0.0	0.6	2.2	2.0	0.4	0.0	0.0						5.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	2.4	2.7	0.6	0.0								6.2	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	2.3	3.6	1.2	0.1	0.0								7.6	7th
8th							0.1	1.9	4.3	1.9	0.2	0.0									8.4	8th
9th						0.1	1.7	4.8	3.1	0.4	0.0										10.1	9th
10th					0.1	1.3	4.8	4.1	0.7	0.0											11.0	10th
11th				0.1	1.3	4.4	4.6	1.0	0.0												11.4	11th
12th			0.1	1.2	4.2	4.5	1.4	0.1	0.0												11.5	12th
13th		0.2	1.6	3.8	3.5	1.5	0.1	0.0													10.8	13th
14th	0.7	2.0	3.2	2.3	0.7	0.0															8.9	14th

Total	0.7	2.2	4.9	7.5	9.8	11.8	12.7	12.2	11.0	8.9	7.0	4.8	3.0	2.0	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	98.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	85.8%	0.1		0.1	0.1
15-3	43.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	17.9%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	5.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%							0.0																0.0
17-1	0.0%		78.8%	18.8%	60.0%	7.2					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		73.9%
16-2	0.2%		61.9%	23.6%	38.3%	10.0						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		50.2%
15-3	0.4%		28.8%	12.1%	16.7%	10.9									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.3		19.0%
14-4	1.0%		17.6%	6.8%	10.8%	11.6									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0				0.8		11.6%
13-5	2.0%		6.1%	5.1%	1.0%	12.0									0.0			0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		1.9		1.1%
12-6	3.0%		5.2%	4.7%	0.5%	12.1										0.0		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			2.9		0.6%
11-7	4.8%		1.6%	1.5%	0.2%	12.2													0.1	0.0	0.0			4.7		0.2%
10-8	7.0%		0.8%	0.8%	0.0%	13.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		7.0		0.0%
9-9	8.9%		0.7%	0.7%		13.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.8
8-10	11.0%		0.1%	0.1%		13.6														0.0	0.0	0.0		11.0
7-11	12.2%		0.3%	0.3%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.2
6-12	12.7%		0.0%	0.0%		14.0															0.0			12.7
5-13	11.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.8
4-14	9.8%																							9.8
3-15	7.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
2-16	4.9%																							4.9
1-17	2.2%																							2.2
0-18	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	11.8		0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	99.0		0.3%